Reform surge threatens Tories and Labour

WESTMINSTER is braced for a political earthquake as hard-right Reform UK looks set to make major gains in Thursday's local elections and a parliamentary by-election.
Last-minute polling shows Nigel Farage’s party on course to overturn a Labour majority of more than 15,000 in Runcorn and Helsby, which is choosing a new MP after the last one resigned following a public brawl with a constituent.
It is also tipped to win two of four metro mayoralties being contested this week — in Hull and East Yorkshire and Lincolnshire, where former Tory MP Andrea Jenkyns is standing for Reform.
More from this author

ANDREW MURRAY casts an eye over past upheavals and asks whether the left can find a fire escape before the world goes up in flames

But Business Secretary downplays prospect of full nationalisation and declines to extend emergency assistance to Port Talbot or Grangemouth

Meanwhile, Labour government toughens rhetoric against the genocide, but stops short of making any changes in policy or practical support for Israel