MOST people don’t expect Sir Keir Starmer will remain prime minister by the end of next year, polling shows.

Just 43 per cent thought he would still be in post, with 37 per cent saying it would be unlikely.

Belief in Sir Keir’s staying power has dropped notably since 2024, when 61 per cent predicted that he would still be PM by the end of this year.

The Ipsos survey also found that 37 per cent of the public thinks that potential leadership rival Greater Manchester Mayor Andy Burnham will become an MP again by winning a by-election.

Just under three in 10 believed that there would be a snap general election and 51 per cent of Britons expect the British economy to enter a recession in 2026.

Just over six in 10 believed that the government will raise the rate of income tax.

Ipsos senior director of UK political research Gideon Skinner said: “While more do think Keir Starmer and Kemi Badenoch will still be PM and leader of the Conservatives respectively at the end of 2026 than expect them to leave, belief in Keir Starmer’s longevity in particular has fallen significantly over the last 12 months.”

A spokeswoman for Momentum said: “The reality is that with living standards of most people set to stagnate and Starmer having no vision to transform society, it is unsurprising that Labour is languishing in the polls and Starmer is on the rocks. 

“To have a chance of success, Labour must tax the rich, cast aside the Conservative fiscal policy policy, which is preventing proper investment, and end the hikes to military spending that will take funding out of public services.”