Skip to main content
Donate to the 95 years appeal
The autumn budget: the hard facts paint a bleak picture
JAMES MEADWAY sizes up a Budget which has driven a coach and horses through the government’s green rhetoric

RISHI SUNAK has delivered a Budget that confirms the turn inside the Tory Party away from austerity spending cuts. 

It confirms that this is Boris Johnson’s government, eager to spend and intervene in the economy in a way that we have not seen Conservatives do for a very long time. 

To win a new consensus on government spending and investment is an important victory for anti-austerity campaigners.

But we should always remember that this is still a Tory government. The £150 billion spending increase over the next three years is not even close to enough to repair the damage they inflicted on this country in the last decade. 

Shadow chancellor Rachel Reeves drummed this message home in a strong response that clearly rattled the Tories in Parliament. 

For example, the Treasury was trumpeting the 75 new “family hubs” over the weekend, intended to provide a one-stop shop for various support services. 

But this is after the Tories closed 1,300 Sure Start centres which also provided a one-stop shop for various family support services. 

Per pupil schools funding is set to increase. But this will only be enough to take it back to the 2010 levels by 2024 — 14 years, an entire generation, wasted. 

And the cut in the “taper rate” for universal credit — the rate at which UC payments are removed once someone starts working — is to be welcomed. 

But, while the numbers are still being crunched, it doesn’t look like enough to compensate properly for the £20-a-week cut that saw 5.5m of the poorest households lose £1,000 a year. 

To put it in context, Sunak’s spending increase is an average of 3 per cent growth a year, which is below the 4 per cent average annual increase New Labour managed in the decade before the financial crisis. 

And it’s even below the 4.1 per cent increase the Tories pushed through in 2019. 

The cuts to alcohol duties, making the system less erratic overall, will no doubt attract headlines. It’s hard to argue against broadly sensible reforms here. But this should distract from some of the real shockers in the Budget — reminders that this is, still, a Conservative government with Conservative priorities.

Particularly shocking was Sunak’s decision to drive a coach and horses through the government’s green rhetoric. 

A week ahead of the crucial Cop26 climate meeting in Glasgow, Sunak’s Budget made the stupefying decision to cut air passenger duty on domestic flights. 

Domestic flights are the easiest to substitute for lower-carbon alternatives, like rail. Yet Sunak is boasting about encouraging them with a tax cut.

How can the British government now have any credibility to demand major developing countries do more on climate change? 

All any country has to do is point at this tax cut, and call them hypocrites. And they’d have a point.

The £30bn green investment announced is what the Institute for Public Policy Research thinks is required every year to reduce our greenhouse gas emissions, not a one-off commitment. 

Funding for essential research and development has been pushed a further two years into the future. Sunak spent more time in his speech on alcohol duties than he did on climate change — if you want a sense of his priorities.

Above all else, for all Sunak’s boosterism, the hard figures presented alongside this Budget tell a very different tale. 

With inflation expected to rise to at least 4 per cent next year, the result of the global supply chain crisis restricting the supply of key goods, millions of families will see further squeezes in their standard of living.

The “lost decade” for living standards under the Tories looks set to continue. And while the official Office for Budget Responsibility forecasts now claim Covid-19 did less long-term damage than previously expected, other credible forecasts think the impacts will be much worse.

Rachel Reeves was right to say Sunak was living in a “parallel universe” compared to the experience of millions of working people. 

But Labour is out of government, and the election is a long way off. It’s now down to trade unions to recruit, organise and fight for the kind of inflation-busting double-digit pay rises that Merseyside lorry drivers just secured.

The 95th Anniversary Appeal
Support the Morning Star
You have reached the free limit.
Subscribe to continue reading.
More from this author
Argentina's President Javier Milei (centre right) arrives at
Features / 21 December 2023
21 December 2023
Already the extremism of the new Argentinian president’s administration is being watered down in the face of reality – but now the Chinese central bank has cut funding it could be in serious trouble, writes JAMES MEADWAY
As prices have soared, the major businesses that dominate gl
Features / 19 April 2023
19 April 2023
JAMES MEADWAY looks at the multiple emerging crises, most linked to climate change, that will lead to price rises for consumers and bumper profits for big business. The solutions, however, are simple
Nigel Lawson, applauded by then Prime Minister Margaret That
Features / 8 April 2023
8 April 2023
An early adherent of free-market fundamentalism, at Thatcher's side throughout her most damaging years, Lawson attacked our unions, industry and the very fabric of our society, writes JAMES MEADWAY
The Bank of England
Features / 24 March 2023
24 March 2023
The Bank of England has been swinging its interest rate bludgeon for the last year, and the wreckage is starting to pile up, warns JAMES MEADWAY
Similar stories
Features / 3 November 2024
3 November 2024
In the first of two articles, ROBERT GRIFFITHS argues that despite a parliamentary majority, Labour’s timid Budget fails to seize a historic opportunity and lacks the ambition needed to address Britain’s deep social and economic crises
(L to R) Rachel Reeves with the ministerial red box; Songi c
Features / 2 November 2024
2 November 2024
Comparing Budget measures to fictional Tory plans rather than actual spending levels conceals continued austerity, argues DIANE ABBOTT MP, as workers face stealth tax increases to bear the cost of economic stagnation
Chancellor of the Exchequer Rachel Reeves poses outside 11 D
Editorial: / 30 October 2024
30 October 2024
Chancellor of the Exchequer Rachel Reeves leaves 11 Downing
Britain / 30 October 2024
30 October 2024
‘Labour’s plans to spend more on the NHS, schools and housing welcome. But budget falls far short of what a real government for workers should do’