Reform’s rise speaks to a deep crisis in Establishment parties – but relies on appealing to social and economic grievances the left should make its own, argues NICK WRIGHT
The selling of illusions
KEITH FLETT looks at how statistics and voter preference analysis obscure what the majority of the electorate expects from their government

DAVID BUTLER, who died at 98, was a key figure in how British elections were understood and analysed from the late 1940s on.
He authored books after each general election reviewing the results and was a familiar figure on BBC election night programmes. In that sense he is part of Britain’s post-1945 social history himself.
Michael Crick’s biography reveals that Butler’s original interest was in cricket statistics but on returning from service in the army in 1945 he found few matches being played and switched his attention to politics.
Similar stories

DIANE ABBOTT looks at the whys and hows of Labour’s spectacular own goal

The sidelining of social democrats and embrace of deregulation comes at the same time as a remarkable collapse in public support for the current Labour regime, writes ANDREW MURRAY, so why don’t we go on the offensive?

BEN CHACKO says a stronger Morning Star would counter the corrosive influence of press barons on our political culture

KEITH FLETT offers some historical context to the election campaign’s final period